The Smartline Report - Home Loan News MAY 2010 Smartline - Personal Mortgage Advisers
   

 

 

The month in review: Regional NSW

By Herron Todd White
May, 2010

 

DUBBO

The least expensive estate in Dubbo would be Rosewood Grove, which consists of c1960to c1980s single storey, fibro or brick, ex-housing commission dwellings. Land prices range from $25,000 to $30,000 for a standard residential block. House prices range from $100,000 for a two-bedroom dwelling to $140,000 for a four-bedroom dwelling. Land and dwellings sold by the Department of Housing are subject to a Restriction on the Use of Land, which prohibits the property from being occupied by anyone other than the owner for a period of seven years.

 

The owner-occupier restriction does not appear to have had a negative effect on the marketability or value of properties within the estate, which is evidenced by the number of properties being sold. Buyers in this estate are generally first homebuyers and low-income families.
The benefit of purchasing in this estate is the affordability and potential for value increases once all the housing commission dwellings have been sold. However, the area is still regarded as a low socio economic area, which has experienced some social issues in the past and this does deter some buyers.


The most expensive areas in Dubbo would be Grangewood Estate and Delroy Park Estate, which are constructed around the Dubbo Golf Course. Both estates were developed in the early 1990s with new stages progressively released over the years. Land with golf course frontage ranges in price from $130,000 to $250,000. Houses with golf course frontage range from $450,000 to $650,000, although one place recently sold for $920,000, which is currently the record sale price in Dubbo. The majority of high cost properties in this area are owner occupied although a small number are leased. This area will soon be enhanced by the development of a Woolworths supermarket and retail outlets that are currently under construction and set to be completed by the end of the year.


BATHURST
The most expensive suburbs of Bathurst are Wentworth and Blue Ridge estates. The least expensive suburbs are Stewart and South Kelso.


Wentworth and Blue Ridge
These estates comprise the following:
• Larger 3000sqm rural residential allotments.
• Near new large executive style dwellings with quality PC’s usually complimented with extensive landscaping and ancillary improvements such as in ground pools.
• Values are typically $500,000-plus with a handful of properties pushing the $1 million mark.
• Buyer profile would be high-income professionals and ‘tree changers’ cashing out of Sydney for a country lifestyle.
• These properties have a higher land value base and larger building covenants making them more exclusive and expensive than other areas.
• These properties can be sensitive to interest rate increases because the owners tend to be geared higher around their income, and can be more volatile then other market segments.
• Yields on these properties are low but there has been good capital growth during the past 10 years.


Stewart and South Kelso
These areas comprise the following:
• Smaller to standard size residential allotments.
• Older style small, ex-housing commission dwellings in fair condition and limited presentation. The dwellings typically are dated and require upgrading and maintenance.
• Values are typically $100,000 to $200,000.
• Buyer profile would be low-income families and first homebuyers.
• These properties are located in low socio economic areas with negative neighbourhood reputations.
• These properties tend to show higher rates of return but are coupled with higher risk and lower capital growth rates. This market segment is also more volatile than medium market segments.

 

ORANGE
The most expensive suburbs of Orange are Amderdown and Orange central. The least expensive suburbs are Glenroi and Bowen.

 

Amerdown and Orange central
These estates comprise the following:
• Amerdown comprises rural residential allotments close to Orange. Orange central comprises standard to larger residential allotments.
• Amerdown has large dwellings of varying ages with quality PCs usually complimented with extensive landscaping and ancillary improvements such as in ground pools. Orange central has large historic style dwellings, which have been restored, extended over the years.
• Values are typically $500k plus with a handful of properties pushing the $1m mark.
• Buyer profile would be high income professionals and people involved in the mining industry.
• These properties have a higher land value base and higher locational appeal. The historic homes continue to achieve a premium in price being exclusive and more expensive than other areas.
• These properties can be sensitive to interest rate increases because the owners tend to be geared higher around their income, and can be more volatile then other market segments.
• Yields on these properties are low but there has been good capital growth over the last 10 years.

 

Glenroi and Bowen
These areas comprise the following:
• Smaller to standard size residential allotments.
• Older style small, ex housing commission dwellings in fair condition and limited presentation. The dwellings typically are dated and require upgrading and maintenance.
• Values are typically $100k to $200k
• Buyer profile would be low-income families and first homebuyers.
• These properties are located in low socio economic areas with negative neighbourhood reputations. North east Bowen in particular has significant socio problems
• These properties tend to show higher rates of return but are coupled with higher risk and lower capital growth rates. This market segment is also more volatile than medium market segments.

 

CENTRAL COAST

Generally speaking the least expensive areas to buy into on the Central Coast are those that are older and away from the beach and waterfront areas. Starting from the southern most end of the coast, these would include freestanding houses at Umina Beach, Empire Bay, Bensville, Kincumber, Narara, Niagara Park, Ourimbah, Wyong, Berkeley Vale, Killarney Vale, Gorokan, Toukley, Lake Munmorah, Chain Valley Bay, Gwandalan and Summerland Point.


It is not unusual to see a purchase made in the low to mid $200,000s for a two to three-bedroom house with a garage in these areas on land parcels between 500 and –650sqm. They are generally aged in appearance and style, being over represented by fibro/metal
constructions but considered to represent good value for the first homebuyer or small investor, with returns at around 5% gross. Some of these areas are considered to be slightly under valued given their history and should be monitored.


For those seeking a newer house close to the freeway, areas like Hamlyn Terrace, Woongarrah and Kariong are quite popular with prices generally upwards of $365,000. Predominantly, houses in these areas are project style four bedroom brick and tile with a double garage. These areas are well within reach of the first home-buyer and investor returns are also around the 5% gross. The potential for value growth in these areas are considered to be good as market confidence continues to return.


Unit, villa and townhouse prices have been down for several years now as the oversupply of this product was beaten down. Very good buying can be seen in this market with most properties being close to transport and shops. Prices start from the low $200,000s. At the other end of the market price spectrum, high-end values are concentrated along the costal strip and smaller rural/residential lifestyle areas. Beachside areas including Pearl Beach, MacMasters Beach, Copacabana, Avoca, North Avoca, Terrigal, Wamberal, Forresters Beach, Bateau Bay, Blue Bay, Toowoon Bay and Norah Head have proven themselves resilient during market downturns.


Beachfront prices generally start at around $3 million in the southern areas, with the price point for areas to the north like The Entrance North, Norah Head and Forresters Beach being much lower. The style and standard of houses in these areas vary considerably.


A word of caution extends to those unwary buyers when looking at redeveloping beachfront properties regarding coastal erosion and sea level change. Extensive and careful investigation should be undertaken in both council areas.


With a few notable exceptions, properties fronting Brisbane Waters generally start at the $1 million mark and there are some very nice areas to be looked at here. Properties fronting any of the three lakes in the Wyong Shire are generally much lower in values.

 

Rural/residential lifestyle properties are generally around between one and two hectares in size. Some very nice and extensive dwellings have been built over the years in these areas. The most gentrified, popular and expensive areas are at Matcham and Holgate where it is
not unusual to see $3 million-plus plus purchases. Areas like Jilliby, Yarramalong and Dooralong are known for their beauty and serenity, but they have been plagued by controversy over the years by mining and other unwanted developments. Hence, values and marketability in these areas have been constrained.

 

MID NORTH COAST

Within the major cities and towns along the Mid North Coast, numerous opportunities exist for those entering the property market, whilst premium properties are well priced in comparison to the upper end market in Australia’s capital cities.


Within the town of Forster, the most affordable housing is located just to the south and west of the original town centre. The lower end prices are a result of small allotment size (450 to 500sqm), small dwelling size (two or three bedrooms) and are of typically dated 1960s construction. This type of accommodation is generally priced from $220,000 to $270,000. Young families entering the property market would be tempted by a $235,000 house in Hadley Street, positioned 200 metres from Forster Primary School and 1km from both Forster Beach and One Mile Beach. Development opportunities exist for property around Breckenridge Street zoned 2(B) Medium Density and close to Wallis Lake.


Premium prices in Forster generally peak at $735,000 for canal front property and $750,000 to $1 million for houses located on Bennetts Head Road and around Underwood Road. These houses are generally of large size brick construction, with panoramic ocean aspect and
close proximity to beach.


In the City of Taree, the cheapest houses are located within the Department of Housing area around Mudford Street ($100,000 to $150,000) with above average rental returns. Outside of this area, there are a number of houses scattered around Wingham Road and Stoke Circuit selling between $150,000 and $200,000. These houses generally date from 1960 to 1975, are of fibro/weatherboard
construction, with two or three bedrooms and single garage.


The upper end housing market in Taree ($500,000 to $700,000) is mostly concentrated in the developing subdivision of Taree West nearby to Manning River, and upon semi-rural acreage around Cedar Party Rd to the northwest. Houses in this price range will be typically large and modern, and sales have noticeably slowed throughout the past 12-month period.


Department of Housing property forms the very lower end of house prices in Port Macquarie, with prices in the Muston St area typically selling from $185,000 to $240,000. Outside of this area, the next lower end housing stock is priced between $250,000 and $300,000 for dwellings located in the Clifton Drive area, around Grant Street and a small scattering around Transit Hill. These houses are usually constructed circa 1960-1980, with three bedrooms and single garage.


Premium prices in Port Macquarie ($800,000-plus) are paid for houses located in the canal area, from the Summit Road hillside to Lighthouse Beach, with a small scattering on the developing southern fringe at Emerald Downs.

 

FAR NORTH COAST

The North Coast of NSW comprises a wide variety of residential property which results in diversity of product extending from absolute beachfront prestige dwellings to basic cottages situated within the small rural villages or hamlets.

Two examples of suburbs or townships, which offer the least and most affordable detached housing within the North Coast, are Byron Bay and Bonalbo respectively. Bonalbo is a small village situated within a semi remote locality approximately 100km west of Lismore. The village includes a primary school, tavern, general store and a small basic medical facility. Development generally comprises a mixture of older to semi modern style dwellings of basic to average quality. Recent sales within the village range from $90,000 to $171,000. These properties have a land area in the order of 854sqm to 1353sqm and are improved with older to semi modern style dwellings of either timber or brick construction with metal roofs. The dwellings generally include two or three bedrooms and car accommodation.

 

The main buyer profile for this product is the owneroccupier. The main reason why this village is considered to be most affordable is due to its semi remote locality. As a result, properties within this area are affected by a reduced buyer market and require extended selling periods. The prospects for growth within this area are considered to be limited due to the stability of prices. Prices within this locality have not altered by any significant amount during the past three years. As an investment, residential properties within Bonalbo can be almost cash positive. However, the investment is affected by limited rental demand, the potential for a reduced quality of tenant and semi remote locality.


Byron Bay is an established coastal locality, which comprises various residential enclaves and commercial/ retail precincts. Byron Bay is a nationally known tourist destination, which attracts a large number of both domestic and international tourists as well as a strong backpacker contingent. Local and regional shopping, primary and secondary schools, restaurants and cafes and a regional hospital are situated within the town. Residential development comprises a mixture of older to contemporary style dwellings, ranging from dwellings
situated within standard residential suburbs to beachside locations. A combination of supply and demand scenarios and popularity of the location has resulted in Byron Bay being the North Coast’s most expensive locality.


Residential units within Byron Bay range in value from $300,000 to $350,000 for a one bedroom serviced apartment to more than $2 million for a beachside duplex unit or contemporary style development. Dwellings within Byron Bay generally begin at $525,000 for a basic cottage to more than $7 million for a prestige dwelling situated within the Wategos Beach precinct. The buyer profile for product ranges from owner-occupiers to investors.


The prospects for growth within Byron Bay are considered to be reasonable. A good investment within this locality would be product situated within close proximity to both the CBD and beaches, which can be let on a permanent basis or more likely on a holiday let basis.

 

WAGGA
As Wagga has relatively low property prices in comparison to the urban cities, interest rates haven’t had such a dramatic influence on property buyers in this region. However the higher end Tatton properties will be affected far more than the Ashmont properties.


Tatton has seen rapid growth during the past 12 months with land values increasing substantially, and this has seen a shape increase in property prices. With the majority of land now sold, the bulk of vacant blocks have building work commenced or so to be commenced.


Tatton is predominantly ann owner occupied area with a vast majority being ‘family style’ homes. This has become one of the features that has drawn people to the area and increased demand. There is a very limited rental market and of those properties for rent the yields are well below of neighbouring suburbs. This, as well as the higher land prices has kept investors away.


While Ashmont is seemingly a very affordable area, it also attracts a certain buyer and renter. This has an effect on investors as the area is renowned for ‘bad tenants’ and higher yield represents a higher risk.


This basically keeps property prices low in the area. While some areas of Wagga which have had a similar profile and are now going through a gentrification, as rental demand grows through university students, defence personnel and overall increase in population, Ashmont has not. I would caution people to get familiar with area before looking to purchase on potential high yields.


LEETON
Where is the cash being splurged?
Griffith – ‘Possibly the best of both worlds’. In East Griffith is the recently established Collina subdivision. Typical homes in this subdivision are mainly project homes of brick veneer construction. Accommodation usually includes three or four bedrooms, multiple living areas and two bathrooms with a good standard of inclusions. Homes in this area range from $340,000 to above $400,000 and are rented from anywhere between $300 and $400 per week. Considering the slow market at present across the region, there are bargains to be had and these properties are an investment with both reasonable rental return and good tax depreciation. You might say the best of both worlds.


Properties in the North of Griffith are situated on a hill and offer views over the regional urban centre of Griffith. These have greater appeal to the owner-occupier. The homes located on the hill are of a high standard and while older than properties in the Collina subdivision, they are not your average project home. The homes on the hill range from $400,000 to well above $500,000. Vacant allotments in this area are scarce and attract a premium when sold.

The only downside to the North East sector is that with so many project homes being built of similar quality, the equilibrium between supply and demand is now in fine balance. With demand still weak and new properties still being constructed, unless there is a sudden market upturn there is a definite risk of flooding the market. This will have an effect on resale values.


At the other end of the scale is South West Griffith, which is a secondary location, and attracts the first homebuyer and low to middle market owner-occupiers because of affordability. The average homes in this area are relatively small two to three bedroom 1960s dwellings, constructed from fibro cement sheet and hardiplank. Properties like these range in price from anywhere from $160,000 to
$200,000.


The area, while not considered highly attractive, is located close to the town centre. This area represents another reasonable investment as rents are usually in the range of $200 to $230 per week. This represents a good return for an entry- level price, however, tenant selection will be important and a good property manager is essential.

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