The Smartline Report - Home Loan News DECEMBER 2009 Smartline - Personal Mortgage Advisers
   

 

 

The month in review: Gold Coast

By Herron Todd White
December, 2009

 

 

The year 2009 on the Gold Coast did not perhaps turn out as bad as some pundits may have thought it might. While the market for prestige property and new apartments softened further, the sub $500,000 and second home buyer level up to, say, $750,000 performed reasonably well. The lower and second home buyer price bracket was underpinned by low interest rates and government stimulus.


The Gold Coast offers an array of property segments, with some segments performing better than others in 2009. The medium rise/high rise apartment market can be broken up into two age categories: the older style (say 1980’/1990’s) apartments; and the new/near new apartments. While Surfers Paradise dominates the landscape for this style of development, Hope Island, Labrador, Southport, Broadbeach, and even Coolangatta have shown similar trends. Demand for the older style apartments has been good in 2009, largely because they typically show a larger floor area and lower purchase price. New/near new apartments have not been so lucky. Not only are developers finding it difficult to sell new product, but stock which was completed in 2008 or early 2009, has either not sold, or has fallen into the hands of receivers. Subsequently, discounts have been applied to clear excess stock levels in some of these developments.
Some developments where significant discounts have been applied include:


- B roadbeach - Ocean Pacific, Freshwater Point, Sierra Grand
- M iami/Burleigh - Miami One, Varsity View Apartments, Ambience
- C oolangatta/Kirra – Kirra Surf
- Hope Island – Illanah Aqua, Marina


Stock levels of new/near new apartments on the Gold Coast remains high and it would appear pressure on value levels will continue in this market segment into 2010.


Since the beginning of 2009 the canal front/river front market on the southern part of the Gold Coast has fallen only slightly, with value levels now almost mirroring levels seen in late 2005/early 2006. One of the better performing waterfront locations has been Mermaid Waters. Buyers now perhaps feel that this market segment has reached the bottom, and they are confident that value levels will someday reach the highs experienced late 2007, which is some 30% higher than current levels. The less established northern waterfront markets of Hope Island, Helensvale and Coomera have not seen any recovery from last year’s falls, but perhaps has softened further. The waterfront land market at Hope Island has been hardest hit with supply far outstripping demand. The mortgagee activity in Platinum Waters and the failure to clear excess stock (because of initial price points) at Riverlinks (Helensvale) has not helped the cause.


The vacant land market in the northern corridor of the Gold Coast, while predicted to perform well in 2009 (on the back of the FHOG) did not live up to expectations. One of the drivers of this was first home buyers were more likely to purchase a second hand house than build a new one; with the general feeling being, you got more for your buck. While all reports dictate a shortage of vacant land on the Gold Coast to satisfy demand, this did not translate in 2009 into price increases. In most areas within the northern corridor between Oxenford and Beenleigh, land prices remained static with some areas showing small decreases.


The established central and beachside suburbs of the Gold Coast, in regards to established houses, have faired well throughout 2009. In particular Burleigh Heads, Palm Beach, Currumbin, Elanora, Varsity Lakes, Robina, Carrara, Benowa and Ashmore, have the benefit of good established infrastructure. These areas are always less affected in a major market downturn and have really benefitted from the second home buyer activity in the $500,000-$750,000 price bracket during 2009.


The prestige property market on the Gold Coast has continued to underperform in 2009. The best way to portray this is by empirical evidence:


• 1 Albatross Avenue, Mermaid Beach sold April 2009 for $18M. Reportedly cost close to $30M.
• 47 Hedges Avenue, Mermaid Beach sold Septembe 2009 for $9.5M. Previously sold March 2008 for $16.8M.
• 3551 Main Beach Parade, Main Beach sold January 2009 for $9.01M. Previously sold June 2006 for $13.5M.


While this does indicate that some properties have suffered big discounts, it is also an indication that big sales prices are still being achieved.


The Gold Coast continues to be underpinned by good population growth. However, Brisbane appears to be outperforming the Gold Coast in this regard. There are pockets of the residential market which will take some time to settle (medium rise/high rise apartments) however the fundamentals in general (reported low stock levels of houses in the central/beachside suburbs) are good.

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Please note that information in this publication is subject to change without notice. Smartline assumes no responsibility for any errors, omissions or mistakes in this document. © 2009 Smartline Home Loans P/L. ABN 38 085 370 270