The Smartline Report - Home Loan News DECEMBER 2009 Smartline - Personal Mortgage Advisers
   

 

 

The month in review: Newcastle

By Herron Todd White
December, 2009

 

At the start of the year we were wondering how the jobs market was going to hold up, and now it would appear that the predicted high unemployment numbers are not going to be realized. The concern now is how quickly future interest rates are going to rise, and what effect this may have on the recovering property market.


At the start of the year we suggested that the sub $400,000 price bracket located within 15 kilometres of the CBD should remain steady with the First Home Owners Grant set to encourage activity in the market. Well, the lower end of the market didn’t remain steady, it actually firmed in value and agents couldn’t get their hands on enough stock as houses regularly sold within weeks of listing (median sale prices lifted).


Inner city suburbs certainly held up in value terms whilst experiencing longer sale periods (as we predicted), and we are now starting to see more activity in this market. Also, as we forecast, holiday areas such as Port Stephens and The Entrance saw property values weaken, particularly strata units, as investors withdrew from the market. Prices in these holiday areas appear to have bottomed out in
most cases and we are beginning to see investors return to the market.


We suggested that sometime in 2009 could be the right time to purchase while we were in a buyer’s market and for many purchasers this was indeed the case. However, it may be that some buyers at the lower end of the market possibly paid a premium for their property (particularly first home buyers) and we will have to wait to see what effect the withdrawal of the increased First Home Owners Grant (as at 1 January 2010) together with increasing interest rates has…

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Please note that information in this publication is subject to change without notice. Smartline assumes no responsibility for any errors, omissions or mistakes in this document. © 2009 Smartline Home Loans P/L. ABN 38 085 370 270