The Smartline Report - Home Loan News JUNE 2010 Smartline - Personal Mortgage Advisers
   

 

 

The month in review: Regional Vic

By Herron Todd White
June, 2010

 

 

LEETON/GRIFFITH
At present there is no one distinct market segment that has the play. During the past few months the greatest number of sales has been in the $200,000to- $300,000 price bracket, but the volume has not by any means been significant. Our market has become dominated by fence sitters and tyre kickers. Uncertainty and fear regarding affordability, employment stability and local economic conditions have caused a significant number of prospective buyers to put their dreams of home ownership in the too hard basket for the time being. The
market appeared to have bottomed out 12 months ago, but, unfortunately, unless our buyers get a confidence revival we are in for some new lows.

 

ECHUCA
Loosely speaking, ‘local’ buyers are the mainstay driving demand in the local market place, with a small but not insignificant influence from out of town buyers (mostly Melbourne) who seem to place a floor in the market.


The term ‘local’ has been used to cover a broader group including:
• Those who relocating within the Echuca-Moama township.
• Those who are relocating from more remote/satellite centres/regions (e.g. coming into town off farms).
• Those originally from Echuca after living away for a period of time.


The demand appears to come at varying levels of value - from first home buyers (mostly from existing Echuca/ Moama residents) through to higher end properties for those returning who may have had exposure to stronger residential markets elsewhere, and whose purchasing power is consequently significantly stronger in the Echuca-Moama Market place relative to where they have come from.


MILDURA
A quiet month for the real estate agents has been evident in Mildura – is this winter coming early and buyers going into hibernation or economic circumstances? Cautious is the present description of the buyers in the market. Certainly the rapid increase in interest rates has slowed the energy of both owner-occupiers and investors.


The most active buyers in the market have been focussed towards the lower mid range of the market and most inquiry is in the $220,000 to $350,000 price range. The low-end market has been noticeably quieter and this is where the interest rate rises have panicked the buyers. The dramatic first home buyer activity in 2009 has resulted in only limited numbers of first home buyers left in the market now and the psyche is despondent due firstly to the interest rates but secondly the perception that they have missed the boat for the generous amounts that were available. In reality there has now been only a relatively minor drop in the grant in Victoria.


Some out-of-town (many internet) buyers have been active predominantly in the $300,000 price range where $280 to $300 per week is the common rental.


SALE
The Gippsland residential market continues to be strong with varying degrees of buyer interest over the past 12 months.


The First Home Buyers Grant ensured an initial surge at the lower end of the market for both established properties and new dwellings. The decrease in government funding, as well as rises in interest rates has now slowed first homebuyer interest.


Demand continues to be steady at the affordable end of the market with a noticeable decline at the higher end, possibly due to the increased interest rates.


Land values have risen quite significantly throughout the region as a result of lack of supply, encouraging greater interest from developers.

With the increase in interest rates and reduction in the First Home Buyers Grant, investor confidence has returned to the market over recent months with rental returns continuing to be strong throughout the region. Local agents have advised that retirees are returning to
the area with improved levels of enquiry from cashed up purchasers leaving the Melbourne market.


Coastal and Lake Areas are showing a thinly traded market with a reduction in property values and sales.


Latrobe Valley continues to be very strong with affordable areas of Morwell, Moe and Churchill showing a gradual increase in property prices.


East Gippsland is showing a strong demand for new housing with new construction activity declining due to limited availability of vacant land and prices increasing accordingly. Agents have indicated however that house and land packages are showing a greater appeal to the younger demographic.

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Please note that information in this publication is subject to change without notice. Smartline assumes no responsibility for any errors, omissions or mistakes in this document. © 2009 Smartline Home Loans P/L. ABN 38 085 370 270